After summer’s extreme weather, more Americans see climate change as a culprit, AP-NORC poll shows

Kathleen Maxwell has lived in Phoenix for greater than 20 years, however this summer time was the primary time she felt concern, as day by day excessive temperatures soared to 110 levels or hotter and saved it up for a record-shattering 31 consecutive days.

“It’s at all times been actually scorching right here, however nothing like this previous summer time,” mentioned Maxwell, 50, who final week opened her home windows for the primary time since March and walked her canine outdoor for the primary time since Could. “I used to be severely scared. Like, what if this doesn’t finish and that is the way it’s going to be?”

Maxwell blames local weather change, and he or she’s not alone.

New polling from The Related Press-NORC Heart for Public Affairs Analysis signifies that excessive climate, together with a summer time that introduced harmful warmth for a lot of the US, is bolstering Individuals’ perception that they’ve personally felt the affect of local weather change.

About 9 in 10 Individuals (87%) say they’ve skilled at the very least one excessive climate occasion previously 5 years — together with drought, excessive warmth, extreme storms, wildfires or flooding — up from 79% who mentioned that just some months in the past in April. And about three-quarters of these consider local weather change is at the very least partly responsible.

In complete, 64% of U.S. adults say each that they’ve lately skilled excessive climate and that they consider it was brought on at the very least partially by local weather change, up from 54% in April. And about 65% say local weather change can have or already has had a significant affect of their lifetime.

This summer time’s warmth may be a giant issue: About three-quarters of Individuals (74%) say they’ve been affected by extraordinarily scorching climate or excessive warmth waves within the final 5 years, up from 55% in April _ and of these, 92% mentioned they’ve had that have simply previously few months.

This summer time was the most well liked ever measured within the Northern Hemisphere, based on the World Meteorological Group and the European local weather service Copernicus.

Hundreds of thousands of Individuals additionally have been affected by the worst wildfire season in Canada’s historical past, which despatched choking smoke into components of the U.S. About six in 10 U.S. adults say haze or smoke from the wildfires affected them “loads” (15 in latest months.

And world wide, excessive warmth, storms, flooding and wildfires have affected tens of hundreds of thousands of individuals this 12 months, with scientists saying local weather change has made such occasions extra possible and intense.

Anthony Leiserowitz, director of the Yale Program on Local weather Change Communication, mentioned researchers there have performed twice-yearly surveys of Individuals for 15 years, however it wasn’t till 2016 that they noticed a sign that individuals’s expertise with excessive climate was affecting their views about local weather change. “And the sign has been getting stronger and stronger 12 months by 12 months as these situations proceed to worsen and worse,” he mentioned.

However he additionally believes that media protection of local weather change has modified dramatically, and that the general public is deciphering info in a extra scientific approach than they did even a decade in the past.

Seventy-six-year-old Bruce Alvord, of Hagerstown, Maryland, mentioned it wasn’t uncommon to expertise days with a 112-degree warmth index this summer time, and well being situations imply that “warmth actually bothers me as a result of it’s restricted what I can do.”

Even so, the retired authorities employee doesn’t consider in human-caused local weather change; he remembers tales from his grandparents about dangerous climate, and thinks the local weather is fluctuating by itself.

“The best way the best way I take a look at it’s I feel it’s a bunch of highly effective politicians and lobbying teams that … have their agenda,” mentioned Alvord, a Republican who sees no want to vary his personal habits or for the federal government to do extra. “I drive a Chrysler 300 (with a V8 engine). I take advantage of premium fuel. I get 15 miles a gallon. I don’t give a rattling.”

The AP-NORC ballot discovered vital variations between Democrats and Republicans. Amongst those that have skilled excessive climate, Democrats (93.

About 9 in 10 Democrats say local weather change is going on, with practically all the remaining Democrats being not sure about whether or not local weather change is going on (5%), relatively than outright rejecting it. Republicans are break up: 49% say local weather change is going on, however 26% say it’s not and an extra 25% are not sure. General, 74% of Individuals say local weather change is going on, largely unchanged from April.

Republican Ronald Livingston, 70, of Clute, Texas, mentioned he’s unsure if human exercise is inflicting local weather change, “however I do know one thing is happening as a result of we’ve been sweating our butts off.”

The retired historical past instructor mentioned it didn’t rain for a number of months this 12 months, killing his grass and drying up a slough on his property the place he generally fishes. It was so scorching — with 45 days of 100 levels or extra — that he may barely go exterior, and he struggled to develop a backyard. He additionally believes that hurricanes are getting stronger.

And after this summer time, he’s preserving an open thoughts about local weather change.

“It worries me to the extent that I don’t assume we are able to go two or three extra years of this,” Livingston mentioned.

Jeremiah Bohr, an affiliate professor of sociology on the College of Wisconsin-Oshkosh who research local weather change communication, mentioned scientific proof “isn’t going to vary the minds that haven’t already been modified.” However folks may be swayed if folks or establishments they already belief develop into satisfied and unfold the phrase, Bohr mentioned.

After a brutal summer time, Maxwell, the Phoenix resident, mentioned she hopes extra Individuals will settle for that local weather change is going on and that individuals are making it worse, and help measures to gradual it.

“It appears very, very apparent to me, with all the excessive climate and the hurricanes and flooding,” mentioned Maxwell. “I simply can’t think about that individuals wouldn’t.”

___

Related Press local weather and environmental protection receives help from a number of personal foundations. See extra about AP’s local weather initiative right here. The AP is solely accountable for all content material.

___

The ballot of 1,146 adults was performed Sept. 7-11, 2023, utilizing a pattern drawn from NORC’s probability-based AmeriSpeak Panel, which is designed to be consultant of the U.S. inhabitants. The margin of sampling error for all respondents is plus or minus 3.9 proportion factors.