AP-NORC poll: More Americans feeling climate change’s impact

The Tidal Basin in Washington overflows the banks with the rain from Tropical Storm Ophelia, Saturday, Sept. 23, 2023.
J. David Ake/Related Press

The Tidal Basin in Washington overflows the banks with the rain from Tropical Storm Ophelia, Saturday, Sept. 23, 2023.

By Tammy Webber and Linley Sanders | Related Press

Kathleen Maxwell has lived in Phoenix for greater than 20 years, however this summer time was the primary time she felt worry, as every day excessive temperatures soared to 110 levels or hotter and stored it up for a record-shattering 31 consecutive days.

“It’s at all times been actually scorching right here, however nothing like this previous summer time,” stated Maxwell, 50, who final week opened her home windows for the primary time since March and walked her canine outdoor for the primary time since Could. “I used to be severely scared. Like, what if this doesn’t finish and that is the way it’s going to be?”

Maxwell blames local weather change, and he or she’s not alone.

New polling from The Related Press-NORC Middle for Public Affairs Analysis signifies that excessive climate, together with a summer time that introduced harmful warmth for a lot of america, is bolstering People’ perception that they’ve personally felt the affect of local weather change.

About 9 in 10 People (87%) say they’ve skilled at the very least one excessive climate occasion previously 5 years — together with drought, excessive warmth, extreme storms, wildfires or flooding — up from 79% who stated that only a few months in the past in April. And about three-quarters of these imagine local weather change is at the very least partly guilty.

In whole, 64% of U.S. adults say each that they’ve just lately skilled excessive climate and that they imagine it was brought on at the very least partially by local weather change, up from 54% in April. And about 65% say local weather change can have or already has had a significant affect of their lifetime.

This summer time’s warmth is perhaps a giant issue: About three-quarters of People (74%) say they’ve been affected by extraordinarily scorching climate or excessive warmth waves within the final 5 years, up from 55% in April — and of these, 92% stated they’ve had that have simply previously few months.

This summer time was the most popular ever measured within the Northern Hemisphere, in response to the World Meteorological Group and the European local weather service Copernicus.

Thousands and thousands of People additionally had been affected by the worst wildfire season in Canada’s historical past, which despatched choking smoke into elements of the U.S. About six in 10 U.S. adults say haze or smoke from the wildfires affected them “loads” (15%) or “just a little” (48%) in latest months.

And all over the world, excessive warmth, storms, flooding and wildfires have affected tens of thousands and thousands of individuals this 12 months, with scientists saying local weather change has made such occasions extra probably and intense.

Anthony Leiserowitz, director of the Yale Program on Local weather Change Communication, stated researchers there have performed twice-yearly surveys of People for 15 years, however it wasn’t till 2016 that they noticed a sign that individuals’s expertise with excessive climate was affecting their views about local weather change. “And the sign has been getting stronger and stronger 12 months by 12 months as these situations proceed to worsen and worse,” he stated.

However he additionally believes that media protection of local weather change has modified dramatically, and that the general public is deciphering data in a extra scientific means than they did even a decade in the past.

Seventy-six-year-old Bruce Alvord, of Hagerstown, Maryland, stated it wasn’t uncommon to expertise days with a 112-degree warmth index this summer time, and well being situations imply that “warmth actually bothers me as a result of it’s restricted what I can do.”

Even so, the retired authorities employee doesn’t imagine in human-caused local weather change; he recollects tales from his grandparents about dangerous climate, and thinks the local weather is fluctuating by itself.

“The best way the best way I have a look at it’s I believe it’s a bunch of highly effective politicians and lobbying teams that … have their agenda,” stated Alvord, a Republican who sees no want to vary his personal habits or for the federal government to do extra. “I drive a Chrysler 300 (with a V8 engine). I take advantage of premium fuel. I get 15 miles a gallon. I don’t give a rattling.”

The AP-NORC ballot discovered vital variations between Democrats and Republicans. Amongst those that have skilled excessive climate, Democrats (93%) are extra sure that local weather change was a trigger, in comparison with simply half of Republicans (48%).

About 9 in 10 Democrats say local weather change is going on, with practically all the remaining Democrats being not sure about whether or not local weather change is going on (5%), reasonably than outright rejecting it. Republicans are cut up: 49% say local weather change is going on, however 26% say it’s not and an extra 25% are not sure. Total, 74% of People say local weather change is going on, largely unchanged from April.

Republican Ronald Livingston, 70, of Clute, Texas, stated he’s undecided if human exercise is inflicting local weather change, “however I do know one thing is occurring as a result of we have now been sweating our butts off.”

The retired historical past trainer stated it didn’t rain for a number of months this 12 months, killing his grass and drying up a slough on his property the place he generally fishes. It was so scorching — with 45 days of 100 levels or extra — that he might barely go outdoors, and he struggled to develop a backyard. He additionally believes that hurricanes are getting stronger.

And after this summer time, he’s preserving an open thoughts about local weather change.

“It worries me to the extent that I don’t assume we will go two or three extra years of this,” Livingston stated.

Jeremiah Bohr, an affiliate professor of sociology on the College of Wisconsin-Oshkosh who research local weather change communication, stated scientific proof “isn’t going to vary the minds that haven’t already been modified.” However individuals is perhaps swayed if individuals or establishments they already belief develop into satisfied and unfold the phrase, Bohr stated.

After a brutal summer time, Maxwell, the Phoenix resident, stated she hopes extra People will settle for that local weather change is going on and that individuals are making it worse, and help measures to sluggish it.

“It appears very, very apparent to me, with all the excessive climate and the hurricanes and flooding,” stated Maxwell. “I simply can’t think about that individuals wouldn’t.”

Related Press local weather and environmental protection receives help from a number of non-public foundations. See extra about AP’s local weather initiative right here. The AP is solely accountable for all content material.

The ballot of 1,146 adults was performed Sept. 7-11, 2023, utilizing a pattern drawn from NORC’s probability-based AmeriSpeak Panel, which is designed to be consultant of the U.S. inhabitants. The margin of sampling error for all respondents is plus or minus 3.9 proportion factors.